Warriors vs. Nets: The best player prop bets for Nov. 16

Tonight’s game between the Golden State Warriors and the Brooklyn Nets also features a showdown between the reigning Eastern and Western Conference Players of the Week: Kevin Durant and Steph Curry. Both are off to ridiculous starts to the season, with Curry leading the Warriors to a league best 11-2 record while Durant has the Brooklyn Nets at 10-4 despite no Kyrie Irving and a slow start by James Harden.

Warriors vs. Nets tips off at 7:30 p.m. ET on TNT, and we have the three best player prop bets below.

KEVIN DURANT OVER/UNDER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE

Kevin Durant is having a preposterously efficient season. He’s shooting 58.6% from the field and 42.4% from deep, good for a 63.9% effective field goal percentage. The Warriors, as a squad, prioritize defending the paint, which consequently means they concede quite a few attempts from downtown. In fact, 40.4% of all Warriors opponents' shots are 3s, a top 5 mark in the NBA.

So, whether Durant would prefer to take 2s normally over 3s is immaterial; KD will take the open shots the defense presents him. And against the Warriors, those shots are 3s more often than not.

PICK: OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+100)

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JAMES HARDEN OVER/UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS

So much attention early in this season focused on the struggles of James Harden, that you might not realize that a big part of the Nets' recent winning ways has been Harden rediscovering his All-NBA caliber play.

In his last five games, Harden is averaging just two rebounds below a 20-10-10 triple-double on excellent splits from the field - and despite his rough start, his efficiency is already back to the 90th percentile on points per shot for guards, per Cleaning the Glass. The rebounding numbers in particular over that stretch are impressive (8.0 per game), but they’re not likely to continue against Golden State.

Draymond Green is averaging 8.1 rebounds per game for the season himself, which if maintained for a whole season would be his most since 2015-16. But more impressively, as a team, the Warriors are holding opponents to the second-lowest offensive rebounding rate in the NBA.  So, while Harden is an effective and opportunistic rebounder, those opportunities will be few and far between against Golden State.

PICK: UNDER 8.5 REBOUNDS (-159)

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STEPH CURRY OVER/UNDER 5.5 ASSISTS

Something that was a bit lost in the two years the Warriors weren’t as competitive is that they stopped trusting the pass as much as in their dynasty days. But now that they have a deep roster full of players who understand the simple principle "pass the ball and you’ll get it back", The Warriors are producing 57.7 potential assists per game, the best in the NBA, and a huge leap over last year's mark of 49.6.

Leading the charge on this improvement is Steph himself, who is averaging more assists per game (6.7) than he has since 2015-16. While Brooklyn might have the wherewithal to navigate screens to limit Curry’s shot attempts, they can’t then also take away the pass since they don’t have enough quality team defenders. Steph will score tonight, but I feel even better about his chances of hitting this Over.

PICK: OVER 5.5 ASSISTS (-139)