2020 NFL betting trends: Don't bet against Teddy Bridgewater

Through six weeks of the 2020 NFL season, we are starting to see more of the "any given Sunday" nature we're used to. Nevertheless, we certainly have a strong set of data to determine how this year is trending.

Let's break down the latest metrics from around the league and determine the trends you should take advantage of in Week 7 and beyond.

Shift in scoring

After the Over dominated the first four weeks of the season, Week 5 saw it drop back down to .500 (7-7). Week 6 saw an even more dramatic turn toward the Under, as the Over went 4-10. This brings the season total to 48-42-1 for the Over.

Week 6 saw a scoring average of 47.3 points per game. This number has regressed all the way back to what we saw in Week 1. However, the oddsmakers are still making the totals higher than usual, because of the high-scoring games between.

The average total in Week 7 games is still sitting at 50.5. It is time to blast the Unders until the oddsmakers catch back up with this shift.

Fade the Big Apple

Two of the worst teams in the NFL this season both represent in New York. Both the Jets and the Giants sit at the bottom of the league standings, at 0-6 and 1-5, respectively.

The Jets are not only winless, but they're also 0-6 against the spread. They have only been less than a touchdown underdog once this season and have still failed to cover, by a combined 52 points, in their six games. They have yet to be competitive in a game and they seem like an easy fade until changes are made within the organization.

The Giants are 3-3 ATS and have looked anemic on offense in every game this season, except against the worst defense in the NFL, the Dallas Cowboys. It is typically safe to bet against the Giants when they are playing games outside of the NFC East, but it is always safe to bet the Under. They have hit the Under in four of six games.

Still the "NFC Least"

The NFC East went 0-2 in games outside the division last week, which brings its season total to 2-15-1. The Eagles managed to earn a late backdoor cover, but the Cowboys failed to cover and now the division is 4-13-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

Week 7 only features divisional games between teams in the NFC East, but you can combine our trend on scoring with the lack of offense in this division to find a couple good Under bets. I definitely would consider adding both NFC East games to an all-Under teaser.

Road favorites off a bye

Since 2003, teams that come off a bye as road favorites are 63-29-2 ATS.

In Week 7, Seattle is coming off its bye and will head to Arizona, where the Seahawks will definitely be favored. This is the only example in Week 7, but continue to look out for this angle as this season progresses.

Don't bet against Teddy

Teddy Bridgewater may be one of the most underrated, overlooked quarterbacks of our time. In his career, he is an outstanding 30-10 ATS. He is also 25-15 overall.

This week, Bridgewater and the Panthers travel to New Orleans as a big underdog. As an underdog, Bridgewater is 20-5 ATS. He is also 16-3 ATS in road games and an unbelievable 15-2 ATS as a road underdog. The numbers do not lie. Do not bet against Teddy!