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Seahawks vs. Steelers: The best player prop bets for SNF

Profile Picture: Jeremy Jones

October 15th, 2021

The Seattle Seahawks not only lost an important game against the Los Angeles Rams last week, they also lost their most important player, Russell Wilson, to injury.

Geno Smith will get a second chance as a starting quarterback on Sunday night when they travel to Pittsburgh to take on a Steelers team that is coming off a big win over the Denver Broncos. It will be a tough task for Smith, as the Steelers have a deadly pass rush.

Mon, October 18 2021, 12:20 AM

PIT Steelers

Moneyline

-235

Spread

-5.5

Total

O 43

SEA Seahawks

Moneyline

+188

Spread

+5.5

Total

U 43

Let's examine the three best player props to bet ahead of the Sunday Night Football matchup between the Seahawks and Steelers.

Ben Roethlisberger Over/Under 1.5 passing touchdowns

"Big Ben" has not looked like his old self this season. However, last Sunday against a tough Denver defense, he was finally able to have his first multi-touchdown game of the year.

Roethlisberger has never had two or more passing touchdowns in a game against Seattle, and has recorded two games with no touchdowns. This is despite the fact his team has scored three or more touchdowns in each of those games.

Seattle’s defense has allowed nine passing touchdowns through five games this season. Only Matthew Stafford and Ryan Tannehill failed to throw for two or more touchdowns against them. I believe you can add Roethlisberger to that list after Sunday night.

Pick: Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-103)


Najee Harris Over/Under 71.5 rushing yards

Najee Harris finally had a breakout game on the ground last week against the Broncos. He ran 23 times for 122 yards and a touchdown, and now will get his first chance to show out in a primetime NFL game.

The Seattle run defense is ranked 31st in the league, allowing an average of 145.2 yards per game. They are also ranked 24th in the NFL allowing 4.5 yards per rushing attempt. The Indianapolis Colts are the only team this season that did not have a runner surpass 72 yards against them.

Harris is the bell cow back in Pittsburgh and has received just under 78% of the carries this season. If averages hold to serve for the defense, he only needs 16 carries to reach this Over. I believe the Steelers will give Harris the ball often against a bad run defense, thereby allowing him to rack up some serious yardage.

Pick: Over 71.5 rushing yards (-114)


D.K. Metcalf Over/Under 62.5 receiving yards

D.K. Metcalf is having a strong, consistent season through the first five games. He is averaging five catches for 76.6 yards per game and is coming off a five-catch, 98-yard, two-touchdown performance against the Rams.

In his lone previous appearance against the Steelers during his rookie year in 2019, Metcalf had three catches for 61 yards and a touchdown. The Steelers defense has been incredible against the run, but porous against the pass. They allow 260.6 passing yards per game and have let eight different receivers go Over 63 yards in 2021.

Smith had a strong connection with Metcalf last week after Wilson went down, connecting on three targets for 54 yards and a touchdown. I expect Seattle's backup QB to look for Metcalf often on Sunday night with good results.

Pick: Over 62.5 receiving yards (-113)

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